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Qual 102018 Buckeye Regional
Red302
648131.1
7165120.8
6460123.3
Blue380
7043131.3
3138126.3
4119126.2
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2982630100200400500600302380

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
648
#22
131.11.5
138.0→136.5
Auto16.8
Teleop99.5
End18.7
blue by 0.2
7043
#25
131.313.6
77.7→91.3
Auto14.6
Teleop102.0
End16.5
Second
6460
#53
123.30.5
130.2→129.7
Auto18.9
Teleop87.6
End13.9
blue by 3.0
3138
#41
126.30.0
120.1→120.1
Auto16.7
Teleop96.1
End11.9
Third
7165
#28
120.82.0
100.9→102.9
Auto16.0
Teleop91.6
End18.7
blue by 5.4
4119
#37
126.211.2
83.0→94.2
Auto15.7
Teleop96.4
End13.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
15%Auto Quest oddsEarned40%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed