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Red86
5667101.5
2010113.9
618197.0
Blue434
6490132.2
3591114.4
3314181.4
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions204365010030040050060086434

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2010
#49
113.914.9
84.199.1
Auto16.9
Teleop84.0
End8.3
blue by 67.5
181.40.4
171.4171.8
Auto25.0
Teleop122.5
End35.0
Second
5667
#48
101.51.3
97.496.2
Auto17.0
Teleop75.4
End10.9
blue by 30.7
6490
#29
132.20.1
121.9121.7
Auto19.2
Teleop95.9
End17.6
Third
6181
#55
97.016.5
69.786.3
Auto15.6
Teleop73.2
End7.5
blue by 17.4
3591
#40
114.416.0
74.690.6
Auto14.7
Teleop88.3
End11.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsMissed57%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed34%Face the Boss oddsEarned