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Qual 162018 Buckeye Regional
Red362
648131.1
4121131.1
2340127.4
Blue101
3484136.8
2228118.9
5973109.0
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions321312150200250350400450362101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
648
#22
131.10.7
136.5→135.8
Auto16.8
Teleop99.5
End18.7
blue by 5.7
3484
#23
136.80.3
139.3→139.1
Auto21.4
Teleop92.1
End27.4
Second
4121
#16
131.10.7
124.2→123.5
Auto16.2
Teleop91.5
End24.3
red by 12.2
2228
#43
118.90.2
126.9→126.7
Auto16.7
Teleop86.9
End19.3
Third
2340
#32
127.41.6
122.6→124.1
Auto21.1
Teleop95.3
End8.7
red by 18.4
5973
#42
109.012.8
87.8→100.6
Auto15.6
Teleop85.7
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
48%Auto Quest oddsEarned59%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed