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Qual 172018 Buckeye Regional
Red202
2010113.9
6916122.1
120161.7
Blue386
2614192.7
1405148.4
2172134.4
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2633960100200300500600202386

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
120
#20
161.70.2
151.8→151.6
Auto22.9
Teleop119.6
End23.5
blue by 31.0
2614
#10
192.71.2
183.5→184.7
Auto29.5
Teleop138.0
End25.7
Second
6916
#39
122.113.5
77.7→91.3
Auto18.0
Teleop89.3
End11.8
blue by 26.4
1405
#7
148.41.8
137.5→139.4
Auto18.3
Teleop110.6
End21.5
Third
2010
#49
113.97.9
99.1→106.9
Auto16.9
Teleop84.0
End8.3
blue by 20.5
2172
#24
134.42.2
121.4→123.6
Auto18.2
Teleop99.3
End20.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
48%Auto Quest oddsEarned80%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed