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Qual 182018 Buckeye Regional
Red398
1248140.1
1126143.8
3266141.6
Blue190
6964119.4
4611159.2
4780112.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions296291200250350400398190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1126
#9
143.80.7
132.6→133.3
Auto18.2
Teleop100.5
End26.2
blue by 15.3
4611
#31
159.20.0
153.0→153.0
Auto19.0
Teleop119.1
End21.5
Second
3266
#21
141.61.6
126.0→127.5
Auto18.3
Teleop101.9
End20.9
red by 22.2
6964
#34
119.412.1
77.7→89.9
Auto16.5
Teleop86.1
End18.7
Third
1248
#15
140.112.5
81.7→94.2
Auto18.5
Teleop99.7
End25.9
red by 27.5
4780
#38
112.610.2
78.9→89.1
Auto17.3
Teleop80.5
End17.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
42%Auto Quest oddsMissed40%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed