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Red235
5030159.0
2340127.4
7043131.3
Blue434
2399135.9
3314181.4
7055118.7
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2883560100200400500600700800235434

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5030
#13
159.02.5
139.4141.9
Auto17.4
Teleop122.3
End21.2
blue by 22.4
181.41.7
173.1174.8
Auto25.0
Teleop122.5
End35.0
Second
7043
#25
131.311.9
91.3103.2
Auto14.6
Teleop102.0
End16.5
blue by 4.6
2399
#36
135.90.6
132.4133.0
Auto19.8
Teleop97.5
End19.3
Third
2340
#32
127.41.6
124.1125.8
Auto21.1
Teleop95.3
End8.7
red by 8.7
7055
#33
118.79.4
88.297.5
Auto15.5
Teleop93.5
End9.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
46%Auto Quest oddsMissed58%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed39%Face the Boss oddsMissed