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Qual 222018 Buckeye Regional
Red246
2228118.9
451126.6
1317142.8
Blue379
3138126.3
1405148.4
1592145.9
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions285331100200400500246379

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1317
#18
142.80.3
142.0→141.7
Auto16.4
Teleop106.0
End23.6
blue by 5.6
1405
#7
148.41.2
139.4→140.6
Auto18.3
Teleop110.6
End21.5
Second
451
#44
126.60.6
124.4→123.8
Auto15.1
Teleop98.3
End13.1
blue by 19.4
1592
#3
145.91.2
124.5→125.7
Auto25.2
Teleop106.7
End17.1
Third
2228
#43
118.92.0
126.7→124.7
Auto16.7
Teleop86.9
End19.3
blue by 7.4
3138
#41
126.31.4
120.1→121.4
Auto16.7
Teleop96.1
End11.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
35%Auto Quest oddsEarned67%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed