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Qual 232018 Buckeye Regional
Red267
1248140.1
4780112.6
5973109.0
Blue358
5418133.0
4085143.0
3591114.4
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2313020100200400500600267358

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1248
#15
140.111.0
94.2→105.2
Auto18.5
Teleop99.7
End25.9
blue by 2.9
4085
#26
143.00.4
134.9→135.3
Auto17.9
Teleop111.9
End15.5
Second
4780
#38
112.65.3
89.1→94.4
Auto17.3
Teleop80.5
End17.2
blue by 20.4
5418
#47
133.05.2
105.0→110.2
Auto14.9
Teleop102.3
End18.5
Third
5973
#42
109.03.8
100.6→104.4
Auto15.6
Teleop85.7
End6.7
blue by 5.4
3591
#40
114.44.8
104.0→108.8
Auto14.7
Teleop88.3
End11.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
19%Auto Quest oddsMissed31%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed