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Red250
6490132.2
5667101.5
3484136.8
Blue382
695113.1
4611159.2
2172134.4
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2413470100200300400500600700800250382

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3484
#23
136.82.5
139.1136.6
Auto21.4
Teleop92.1
End27.4
blue by 22.4
4611
#31
159.20.8
153.0152.2
Auto19.0
Teleop119.1
End21.5
Second
6490
#29
132.21.0
123.0124.0
Auto19.2
Teleop95.9
End17.6
blue by 2.2
2172
#24
134.41.4
123.6124.9
Auto18.2
Teleop99.3
End20.3
Third
5667
#48
101.50.7
94.393.5
Auto17.0
Teleop75.4
End10.9
blue by 11.6
695
#45
113.13.2
101.9105.1
Auto17.0
Teleop81.5
End16.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
39%Auto Quest oddsEarned50%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed