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Red231
648131.1
1507188.3
3193120.4
Blue454
6964119.4
2614192.7
5413146.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions334343250300400450500231454

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
188.31.8
179.9181.7
Auto23.4
Teleop132.2
End33.3
blue by 4.4
2614
#10
192.70.9
184.7185.6
Auto29.5
Teleop138.0
End25.7
Second
648
#22
131.10.1
135.8135.7
Auto16.8
Teleop99.5
End18.7
blue by 15.6
5413
#35
146.81.0
144.2145.3
Auto17.2
Teleop109.9
End19.4
Third
3193
#54
120.43.6
132.2128.6
Auto16.0
Teleop92.5
End11.3
red by 1.1
6964
#34
119.46.5
89.996.4
Auto16.5
Teleop86.1
End18.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
37%Auto Quest oddsMissed68%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
12%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed