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Qual 282018 Buckeye Regional
Red289
4121131.1
4601131.5
4085143.0
Blue216
1126143.8
1317142.8
1590119.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2613330100200300400500600700289216

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4085
#26
143.01.0
135.3→136.3
Auto17.9
Teleop111.9
End15.5
blue by 0.8
1126
#9
143.81.5
133.3→134.9
Auto18.2
Teleop100.5
End26.2
Second
4601
#17
131.55.9
98.8→104.7
Auto17.8
Teleop98.0
End18.1
blue by 11.4
1317
#18
142.80.4
141.7→141.3
Auto16.4
Teleop106.0
End23.6
Third
4121
#16
131.10.2
123.5→123.7
Auto16.2
Teleop91.5
End24.3
red by 11.2
1590
#27
119.86.8
101.2→108.0
Auto15.4
Teleop94.2
End10.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
33%Auto Quest oddsEarned37%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed