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Qual 292018 Buckeye Regional
Red447
5030159.0
6027144.7
2228118.9
Blue167
6916122.1
6936124.2
3591114.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions318308100200400500600447167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5030
#13
159.01.7
141.9→143.6
Auto17.4
Teleop122.3
End21.2
red by 34.9
6936
#50
124.21.6
124.1→125.7
Auto16.4
Teleop85.0
End21.3
Second
6027
#19
144.79.9
107.9→117.7
Auto19.0
Teleop108.5
End19.5
red by 22.6
6916
#39
122.18.8
100.4→109.2
Auto18.0
Teleop89.3
End11.8
Third
2228
#43
118.91.7
124.7→122.9
Auto16.7
Teleop86.9
End19.3
red by 4.5
3591
#40
114.45.0
108.8→113.8
Auto14.7
Teleop88.3
End11.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsEarned30%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed11%Face the Boss oddsMissed