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Qual 302018 Buckeye Regional
Red377
635591.1
3324128.2
3314181.4
Blue202
5973109.0
7165120.8
3138126.3
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3622330100200300400500600700377202

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3314
#6
181.41.8
174.8→176.6
Auto25.0
Teleop122.5
End35.0
red by 55.1
3138
#41
126.31.7
121.4→123.1
Auto16.7
Teleop96.1
End11.9
Second
3324
#46
128.20.2
127.3→127.1
Auto15.2
Teleop97.5
End14.8
red by 7.4
7165
#28
120.82.6
105.0→107.5
Auto16.0
Teleop91.6
End18.7
Third
6355
#52
91.11.6
94.1→95.7
Auto12.2
Teleop68.6
End15.1
blue by 17.9
5973
#42
109.03.5
104.4→107.9
Auto15.6
Teleop85.7
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
42%Auto Quest oddsMissed24%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
36%Face the Boss oddsEarned2%Face the Boss oddsMissed