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Qual 312018 Buckeye Regional
Red394
618197.0
4020159.2
1405148.4
Blue171
3484136.8
695113.1
1248140.1
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3502640100200300400500600394171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4020
#14
159.21.8
147.3→149.2
Auto23.1
Teleop114.3
End22.7
red by 19.1
1248
#15
140.18.3
105.2→113.4
Auto18.5
Teleop99.7
End25.9
Second
1405
#7
148.41.6
140.6→142.2
Auto18.3
Teleop110.6
End21.5
red by 11.6
3484
#23
136.81.3
136.6→135.3
Auto21.4
Teleop92.1
End27.4
Third
6181
#55
97.03.7
97.3→101.0
Auto15.6
Teleop73.2
End7.5
blue by 16.0
695
#45
113.13.2
105.1→108.4
Auto17.0
Teleop81.5
End16.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
49%Auto Quest oddsEarned31%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed