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Red319
6460123.3
7055118.7
2783141.5
Blue297
3193120.4
3266141.6
5667101.5
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions351240100200300400500600700319297

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
141.50.9
133.0133.9
Auto16.5
Teleop110.8
End17.2
blue by 0.1
3266
#21
141.62.0
129.8131.8
Auto18.3
Teleop101.9
End20.9
Second
6460
#53
123.30.1
130.0129.9
Auto18.9
Teleop87.6
End13.9
red by 2.8
3193
#54
120.43.2
128.6125.4
Auto16.0
Teleop92.5
End11.3
Third
7055
#33
118.77.5
97.5105.0
Auto15.5
Teleop93.5
End9.1
red by 17.2
5667
#48
101.50.0
93.593.5
Auto17.0
Teleop75.4
End10.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
41%Auto Quest oddsMissed18%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed