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Red303
1592145.9
7043131.3
6490132.2
Blue349
5413146.8
1507188.3
1126143.8
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2574180100200300500600700800303349

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
145.91.7
125.7127.4
Auto25.2
Teleop106.7
End17.1
blue by 42.4
188.30.8
181.7182.5
Auto23.4
Teleop132.2
End33.3
Second
6490
#29
132.21.3
124.0125.3
Auto19.2
Teleop95.9
End17.6
blue by 14.5
5413
#35
146.81.4
145.3146.7
Auto17.2
Teleop109.9
End19.4
Third
7043
#25
131.37.1
103.2110.3
Auto14.6
Teleop102.0
End16.5
blue by 12.5
143.80.4
134.9135.3
Auto18.2
Teleop100.5
End26.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
74%Auto Quest oddsMissed50%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed21%Face the Boss oddsEarned