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Red435
1758130.9
291180.8
1014157.7
Blue265
4601131.5
6964119.4
2399135.9
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4182290100200300500600435265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
291
#12
180.81.6
175.8177.4
Auto24.1
Teleop135.1
End18.3
red by 44.9
2399
#36
135.90.9
133.0133.9
Auto19.8
Teleop97.5
End19.3
Second
1014
#11
157.70.7
150.4151.0
Auto19.2
Teleop117.4
End21.9
red by 26.2
4601
#17
131.54.3
104.7108.9
Auto17.8
Teleop98.0
End18.1
Third
1758
#51
130.90.3
137.3137.0
Auto16.3
Teleop100.8
End13.8
red by 11.5
6964
#34
119.46.0
96.4102.4
Auto16.5
Teleop86.1
End18.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
59%Auto Quest oddsEarned35%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
12%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed