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Qual 372018 Buckeye Regional
Red315
2172134.4
4780112.6
4020159.2
Blue380
4150144.1
451126.6
6027144.7
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions302334150200250400450500550315380

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4020
#14
159.21.9
149.2→151.0
Auto23.1
Teleop114.3
End22.7
red by 14.5
6027
#19
144.79.3
117.7→127.0
Auto19.0
Teleop108.5
End19.5
Second
2172
#24
134.41.4
124.9→126.4
Auto18.2
Teleop99.3
End20.3
blue by 9.7
4150
#1
144.11.9
129.3→131.2
Auto17.6
Teleop109.1
End18.9
Third
4780
#38
112.64.6
94.4→99.0
Auto17.3
Teleop80.5
End17.2
blue by 14.0
451
#44
126.60.6
123.8→123.2
Auto15.1
Teleop98.3
End13.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
53%Auto Quest oddsEarned52%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed