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Red374
1248140.1
1592145.9
1590119.8
Blue266
695113.1
5667101.5
7043131.3
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3192390100200400500600374266

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
145.91.5
127.4128.9
Auto25.2
Teleop106.7
End17.1
red by 14.6
7043
#25
131.35.5
110.3115.8
Auto14.6
Teleop102.0
End16.5
Second
1248
#15
140.14.5
113.4118.0
Auto18.5
Teleop99.7
End25.9
red by 27.1
695
#45
113.11.2
108.4109.6
Auto17.0
Teleop81.5
End16.8
Third
1590
#27
119.82.4
108.0110.4
Auto15.4
Teleop94.2
End10.5
red by 18.4
5667
#48
101.50.5
93.594.1
Auto17.0
Teleop75.4
End10.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
70%Auto Quest oddsEarned11%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed