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Red280
3266141.6
2614192.7
1758130.9
Blue368
1590119.8
7043131.3
291180.8
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions369320100200400500600280368

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2614
#10
192.71.1
189.3190.4
Auto29.5
Teleop138.0
End25.7
red by 11.9
291
#12
180.80.8
180.2181.1
Auto24.1
Teleop135.1
End18.3
Second
3266
#21
141.62.5
136.7139.2
Auto18.3
Teleop101.9
End20.9
red by 10.3
7043
#25
131.34.6
121.4126.0
Auto14.6
Teleop102.0
End16.5
Third
1758
#51
130.90.9
137.2136.3
Auto16.3
Teleop100.8
End13.8
red by 11.1
1590
#27
119.82.8
114.8117.7
Auto15.4
Teleop94.2
End10.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
82%Auto Quest oddsMissed58%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed