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Red409
4145181.6
4119126.2
1126143.8
Blue277
2010113.9
3484136.8
6936124.2
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions407274100200500600700409277

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
181.60.3
179.8180.2
Auto22.8
Teleop134.8
End23.8
red by 44.8
3484
#23
136.80.7
133.8134.5
Auto21.4
Teleop92.1
End27.4
Second
143.81.2
136.1137.3
Auto18.2
Teleop100.5
End26.2
red by 19.6
6936
#50
124.20.2
126.3126.1
Auto16.4
Teleop85.0
End21.3
Third
4119
#37
126.20.9
125.6126.5
Auto15.7
Teleop96.4
End13.3
red by 12.3
2010
#49
113.90.3
118.3118.0
Auto16.9
Teleop84.0
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
65%Auto Quest oddsMissed60%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
19%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed