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Qual 622018 Buckeye Regional
Red508
3138126.3
1014157.7
4780112.6
Blue356
3193120.4
6916122.1
618197.0
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3322760100200400500508356

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1014
#11
157.70.9
153.1→154.0
Auto19.2
Teleop117.4
End21.9
red by 35.6
6916
#39
122.14.7
117.8→122.5
Auto18.0
Teleop89.3
End11.8
Second
3138
#41
126.30.0
124.6→124.6
Auto16.7
Teleop96.1
End11.9
red by 5.9
3193
#54
120.40.5
122.1→121.6
Auto16.0
Teleop92.5
End11.3
Third
4780
#38
112.61.2
105.0→106.2
Auto17.3
Teleop80.5
End17.2
red by 15.6
6181
#55
97.01.7
102.1→100.5
Auto15.6
Teleop73.2
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
52%Auto Quest oddsMissed22%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed