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Red341
4121131.1
5418133.0
6027144.7
Blue319
5667101.5
3314181.4
451126.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3013160200400600800341319

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6027
#19
144.72.7
135.1137.8
Auto19.0
Teleop108.5
End19.5
blue by 36.7
181.40.5
179.8180.3
Auto25.0
Teleop122.5
End35.0
Second
5418
#47
133.02.8
122.6125.4
Auto14.9
Teleop102.3
End18.5
red by 6.4
451
#44
126.60.3
124.2124.5
Auto15.1
Teleop98.3
End13.1
Third
4121
#16
131.10.7
125.1125.8
Auto16.2
Teleop91.5
End24.3
red by 29.6
5667
#48
101.51.5
95.296.6
Auto17.0
Teleop75.4
End10.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
45%Auto Quest oddsEarned58%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed45%Face the Boss oddsMissed