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Red142
3266141.6
618197.0
7055118.7
Blue451
120161.7
4020159.2
4145181.6
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2304490100200300400500600142451

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3266
#21
141.60.6
140.4141.0
Auto18.3
Teleop101.9
End20.9
blue by 40.0
181.60.0
180.4180.4
Auto22.8
Teleop134.8
End23.8
Second
7055
#33
118.70.6
120.4119.8
Auto15.5
Teleop93.5
End9.1
blue by 43.0
120
#20
161.70.8
158.7159.5
Auto22.9
Teleop119.6
End23.5
Third
6181
#55
97.00.7
98.798.1
Auto15.6
Teleop73.2
End7.5
blue by 62.1
4020
#14
159.21.5
154.3155.8
Auto23.1
Teleop114.3
End22.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsEarned97%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed10%Face the Boss oddsMissed