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Red269
6027144.7
1758130.9
2172134.4
Blue352
5973109.0
1592145.9
1126143.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33329102004006008001,0001,200269352

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6027
#19
144.72.4
141.1143.5
Auto19.0
Teleop108.5
End19.5
blue by 1.2
145.93.3
136.9140.2
Auto25.2
Teleop106.7
End17.1
Second
2172
#24
134.41.4
132.1133.5
Auto18.2
Teleop99.3
End20.3
blue by 9.4
143.81.5
138.1139.6
Auto18.2
Teleop100.5
End26.2
Third
1758
#51
130.92.0
134.7132.7
Auto16.3
Teleop100.8
End13.8
red by 22.0
5973
#42
109.01.0
109.7108.7
Auto15.6
Teleop85.7
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
61%Auto Quest oddsEarned72%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed14%Face the Boss oddsMissed