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Red329
4085143.0
4611159.2
5667101.5
Blue384
635591.1
5030159.0
2614192.7
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions320319200250300350400450329384

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4611
#31
159.21.0
157.1158.1
Auto19.0
Teleop119.1
End21.5
blue by 33.5
2614
#10
192.70.2
190.4190.6
Auto29.5
Teleop138.0
End25.7
Second
4085
#26
143.01.5
138.8140.3
Auto17.9
Teleop111.9
End15.5
blue by 16.0
5030
#13
159.01.1
151.9153.0
Auto17.4
Teleop122.3
End21.2
Third
5667
#48
101.52.0
97.799.7
Auto17.0
Teleop75.4
End10.9
red by 10.4
6355
#52
91.11.2
91.990.7
Auto12.2
Teleop68.6
End15.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
67%Auto Quest oddsEarned71%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed9%Face the Boss oddsMissed