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Red166
3591114.4
1014157.7
7043131.3
Blue391
2783141.5
3484136.8
379195.4
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2603990100200300500600166391

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1014
#11
157.71.3
155.0156.3
Auto19.2
Teleop117.4
End21.9
blue by 37.7
379
#2
195.41.2
189.9191.1
Auto25.4
Teleop137.9
End32.6
Second
7043
#25
131.32.1
128.7130.7
Auto14.6
Teleop102.0
End16.5
blue by 10.2
141.51.4
136.6138.0
Auto16.5
Teleop110.8
End17.2
Third
3591
#40
114.40.8
116.4115.6
Auto14.7
Teleop88.3
End11.0
blue by 22.4
3484
#23
136.80.9
134.8135.7
Auto21.4
Teleop92.1
End27.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsEarned92%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
11%Face the Boss oddsMissed24%Face the Boss oddsEarned