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Red372
3314181.4
648131.1
4601131.5
Blue306
6936124.2
1248140.1
1507188.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3543370200400600800372306

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
181.40.5
180.6180.1
Auto25.0
Teleop122.5
End35.0
blue by 6.9
188.30.5
186.8187.4
Auto23.4
Teleop132.2
End33.3
Second
4601
#17
131.51.1
128.5129.6
Auto17.8
Teleop98.0
End18.1
blue by 8.6
1248
#15
140.13.6
133.2136.9
Auto18.5
Teleop99.7
End25.9
Third
648
#22
131.10.8
132.0131.2
Auto16.8
Teleop99.5
End18.7
red by 6.9
6936
#50
124.20.9
125.6124.8
Auto16.4
Teleop85.0
End21.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
76%Auto Quest oddsEarned61%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
39%Face the Boss oddsEarned43%Face the Boss oddsEarned