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Red402
6490132.2
5413146.8
4121131.1
Blue280
4780112.6
3324128.2
291180.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2993640100200400500600700800402280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5413
#35
146.80.6
146.9146.3
Auto17.2
Teleop109.9
End19.4
blue by 34.0
291
#12
180.80.2
181.7181.9
Auto24.1
Teleop135.1
End18.3
Second
6490
#29
132.20.8
127.1128.0
Auto19.2
Teleop95.9
End17.6
red by 4.1
3324
#46
128.20.2
128.0128.2
Auto15.2
Teleop97.5
End14.8
Third
4121
#16
131.11.4
126.9128.3
Auto16.2
Teleop91.5
End24.3
red by 18.4
4780
#38
112.63.6
107.5111.1
Auto17.3
Teleop80.5
End17.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
50%Auto Quest oddsEarned43%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed