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Red208
1405148.4
3814143.9
5418133.0
Blue315
3138126.3
2340127.4
4150144.1
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions353288100200400500600208315

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148.40.5
147.8148.3
Auto18.3
Teleop110.6
End21.5
red by 4.4
144.12.0
137.1139.1
Auto17.6
Teleop109.1
End18.9
Second
3814
#30
143.90.5
145.3144.8
Auto20.2
Teleop108.7
End15.2
red by 16.5
2340
#32
127.40.5
127.9127.4
Auto21.1
Teleop95.3
End8.7
Third
5418
#47
133.03.2
128.7131.9
Auto14.9
Teleop102.3
End18.5
red by 6.7
3138
#41
126.30.6
124.9125.5
Auto16.7
Teleop96.1
End11.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
58%Auto Quest oddsEarned66%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed1%Face the Boss oddsMissed