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Qual 862018 Buckeye Regional
Red341
120161.7
3484136.8
635591.1
Blue377
1590119.8
4780112.6
5030159.0
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions309349200400500341377

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
120
#20
161.70.9
159.5→160.4
Auto22.9
Teleop119.6
End23.5
red by 2.6
5030
#13
159.01.6
153.0→154.6
Auto17.4
Teleop122.3
End21.2
Second
3484
#23
136.81.1
135.7→136.8
Auto21.4
Teleop92.1
End27.4
red by 17.0
1590
#27
119.80.2
120.1→119.8
Auto15.4
Teleop94.2
End10.5
Third
6355
#52
91.10.4
90.7→91.1
Auto12.2
Teleop68.6
End15.1
blue by 21.5
4780
#38
112.61.5
111.1→112.6
Auto17.3
Teleop80.5
End17.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
74%Auto Quest oddsEarned56%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsEarned4%Face the Boss oddsMissed