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Red408
1014157.7
1248140.1
3314181.4
Blue216
2172134.4
6460123.3
3814143.9
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434254100200300400500600700408216

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
181.40.2
180.1180.3
Auto25.0
Teleop122.5
End35.0
red by 37.5
3814
#30
143.90.9
144.8143.9
Auto20.2
Teleop108.7
End15.2
Second
1014
#11
157.70.6
156.3156.9
Auto19.2
Teleop117.4
End21.9
red by 23.3
2172
#24
134.40.9
133.5134.4
Auto18.2
Teleop99.3
End20.3
Third
1248
#15
140.12.6
136.9139.4
Auto18.5
Teleop99.7
End25.9
red by 16.9
6460
#53
123.31.5
125.8124.3
Auto18.9
Teleop87.6
End13.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
89%Auto Quest oddsEarned67%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
72%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed