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Red411
4119126.2
1507188.3
3324128.2
Blue269
618197.0
6027144.7
4611159.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions341316100200400500411269

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
188.30.5
187.4187.9
Auto23.4
Teleop132.2
End33.3
red by 29.1
4611
#31
159.21.0
158.1159.1
Auto19.0
Teleop119.1
End21.5
Second
3324
#46
128.20.3
128.2127.9
Auto15.2
Teleop97.5
End14.8
blue by 16.5
6027
#19
144.71.1
143.5144.6
Auto19.0
Teleop108.5
End19.5
Third
4119
#37
126.20.6
126.7126.2
Auto15.7
Teleop96.4
End13.3
red by 29.2
6181
#55
97.01.0
98.197.0
Auto15.6
Teleop73.2
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsEarned82%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
20%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed