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Red145
451126.6
3138126.3
4601131.5
Blue373
4145181.6
6490132.2
2340127.4
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2913670100200400500600145373

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4601
#17
131.51.9
129.6131.5
Auto17.8
Teleop98.0
End18.1
blue by 50.1
181.60.2
180.4180.6
Auto22.8
Teleop134.8
End23.8
Second
451
#44
126.61.0
125.6126.6
Auto15.1
Teleop98.3
End13.1
blue by 5.6
6490
#29
132.21.6
128.0129.5
Auto19.2
Teleop95.9
End17.6
Third
3138
#41
126.30.8
125.5126.3
Auto16.7
Teleop96.1
End11.9
blue by 1.1
2340
#32
127.40.0
127.4127.4
Auto21.1
Teleop95.3
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
41%Auto Quest oddsMissed91%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed