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Qual 902018 Buckeye Regional
Red288
695113.1
5413146.8
7165120.8
Blue383
2783141.5
4121131.1
5973109.0
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions290327100150200250350400450500288383

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5413
#35
146.80.4
146.3→146.8
Auto17.2
Teleop109.9
End19.4
red by 5.3
2783
#5
141.51.6
138.0→139.6
Auto16.5
Teleop110.8
End17.2
Second
7165
#28
120.82.1
118.6→120.8
Auto16.0
Teleop91.6
End18.7
blue by 10.3
4121
#16
131.12.0
128.3→130.3
Auto16.2
Teleop91.5
End24.3
Third
695
#45
113.11.0
112.1→113.1
Auto17.0
Teleop81.5
End16.8
red by 4.1
5973
#42
109.00.3
108.7→109.0
Auto15.6
Teleop85.7
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
35%Auto Quest oddsEarned56%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed