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Quarterfinal 2-12018 Miami Valley Regional
Red386
4362145.3
302167.7
3397140.7
Blue187
1317139.7
4611152.1
247149.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3133400100200400500600700800386187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
302
#5
167.70.6
162.6→163.2
Auto16.6
Teleop133.4
End19.2
red by 15.6
4611
#6
152.10.6
151.1→151.7
Auto18.5
Teleop115.9
End19.4
Second
4362
#16
145.30.3
145.1→144.7
Auto18.5
Teleop111.5
End16.8
blue by 4.1
247
#13
149.40.2
149.3→149.4
Auto18.8
Teleop108.0
End21.0
Third
3397
#24
140.70.1
137.9→138.0
Auto13.5
Teleop109.9
End18.9
red by 1.0
1317
#10
139.71.5
136.9→138.5
Auto18.1
Teleop102.4
End22.8