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Semifinal 1-22018 Miami Valley Regional
Red339
291169.2
379174.6
1014146.8
Blue418
4362145.3
302167.7
3397140.7
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384298100200500600339418

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
379
#1
174.60.8
173.8→174.6
Auto23.9
Teleop127.7
End25.6
red by 6.9
302
#5
167.70.8
164.4→165.2
Auto16.6
Teleop133.4
End19.2
Second
291
#2
169.20.8
168.4→169.2
Auto23.1
Teleop120.3
End27.0
red by 23.9
4362
#16
145.30.1
144.4→144.6
Auto18.5
Teleop111.5
End16.8
Third
1014
#15
146.80.7
146.1→146.8
Auto17.4
Teleop109.6
End21.1
red by 6.1
3397
#24
140.70.5
138.5→139.0
Auto13.5
Teleop109.9
End18.9