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Red337
4362145.3
302167.7
3397140.7
Blue295
1317139.7
4611152.1
247149.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions328324250300350400450337295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
302
#5
167.70.6
163.2163.8
Auto16.6
Teleop133.4
End19.2
red by 15.6
152.10.4
151.7152.1
Auto18.5
Teleop115.9
End19.4
Second
4362
#16
145.30.2
144.7144.5
Auto18.5
Teleop111.5
End16.8
blue by 4.1
247
#13
149.40.0
149.4149.4
Auto18.8
Teleop108.0
End21.0
Third
3397
#24
140.70.3
138.0138.3
Auto13.5
Teleop109.9
End18.9
red by 1.0
1317
#10
139.71.2
138.5139.7
Auto18.1
Teleop102.4
End22.8