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Red287
4028158.0
3504150.8
5811128.8
Blue262
4145160.7
3010150.7
4521126.7
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions352311100200400500600287262

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4028
#22
158.00.6
156.0156.6
Auto19.4
Teleop118.7
End20.8
blue by 2.8
160.70.2
160.9160.7
Auto18.0
Teleop118.0
End21.3
Second
150.80.1
150.6150.7
Auto22.8
Teleop108.7
End19.8
Level
150.70.9
149.8150.7
Auto20.5
Teleop112.2
End19.9
Third
5811
#50
128.80.5
127.3127.7
Auto15.0
Teleop98.9
End16.5
red by 2.1
4521
#42
126.70.1
126.8126.7
Auto17.3
Teleop91.9
End15.6