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Quarterfinal 3-12018 Miami Valley Regional
Red376
4028158.0
3504150.8
5811128.8
Blue241
6032126.2
3777117.7
4085134.3
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions369254100200300400500600376241

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4028
#22
158.00.6
154.2→154.8
Auto19.4
Teleop118.7
End20.8
red by 23.6
4085
#28
134.30.1
134.5→134.4
Auto19.5
Teleop101.4
End11.4
Second
3504
#3
150.80.1
150.7→150.6
Auto22.8
Teleop108.7
End19.8
red by 24.6
6032
#45
126.20.4
125.5→125.9
Auto14.0
Teleop98.7
End13.9
Third
5811
#50
128.80.4
125.9→126.4
Auto15.0
Teleop98.9
End16.5
red by 11.1
3777
#9
117.71.0
115.7→116.8
Auto17.6
Teleop87.7
End15.3