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Red380
4028158.0
3504150.8
5811128.8
Blue249
6032126.2
3777117.7
4085134.3
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions372252100200300400500600380249

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4028
#22
158.00.6
154.8155.4
Auto19.4
Teleop118.7
End20.8
red by 23.6
4085
#28
134.30.1
134.4134.3
Auto19.5
Teleop101.4
End11.4
Second
150.80.0
150.6150.6
Auto22.8
Teleop108.7
End19.8
red by 24.6
6032
#45
126.20.3
125.9126.2
Auto14.0
Teleop98.7
End13.9
Third
5811
#50
128.80.4
126.4126.8
Auto15.0
Teleop98.9
End16.5
red by 11.1
117.70.9
116.8117.7
Auto17.6
Teleop87.7
End15.3