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Red34
1317139.7
4283101.7
3492123.1
Blue419
234156.1
554135.6
868125.4
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions259335020040060080034419

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1317
#10
139.716.1
73.789.8
Auto18.1
Teleop102.4
End22.8
blue by 16.4
234
#32
156.15.8
124.7130.5
Auto26.0
Teleop109.1
End14.0
Second
3492
#34
123.19.7
98.2107.9
Auto16.1
Teleop97.3
End13.1
blue by 12.6
554
#11
135.612.0
90.1102.1
Auto17.1
Teleop102.0
End22.4
Third
4283
#44
101.712.7
77.790.4
Auto13.8
Teleop76.4
End13.3
blue by 23.7
868
#26
125.45.5
118.6124.2
Auto18.1
Teleop92.5
End18.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
33%Auto Quest oddsMissed38%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed