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Red226
1675136.2
128106.0
144145.6
Blue349
1559140.7
677131.3
3193136.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30727202004006008001,000226349

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
144
#25
145.613.7
95.9109.6
Auto18.4
Teleop109.1
End17.9
red by 5.0
1559
#27
140.713.8
94.8108.6
Auto21.5
Teleop103.0
End17.2
Second
1675
#41
136.213.7
96.0109.7
Auto17.2
Teleop100.2
End21.7
blue by 0.5
3193
#43
136.716.1
73.989.9
Auto16.3
Teleop105.0
End16.0
Third
128
#56
106.016.7
68.184.8
Auto15.4
Teleop78.8
End12.8
blue by 25.2
677
#7
131.317.1
64.881.9
Auto18.7
Teleop97.4
End17.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
35%Auto Quest oddsMissed32%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed