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Red184
6765121.6
6032126.2
451122.3
Blue214
2603110.4
3844112.5
4284108.8
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2712770100200400500600184214

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6032
#45
126.216.1
73.589.6
Auto14.0
Teleop98.7
End13.9
red by 13.7
3844
#54
112.516.0
74.290.2
Auto16.2
Teleop85.9
End10.7
Second
451
#57
122.316.0
74.990.9
Auto14.8
Teleop94.9
End15.0
red by 11.9
2603
#55
110.416.9
66.283.1
Auto14.2
Teleop82.8
End15.6
Third
6765
#29
121.617.3
63.180.4
Auto17.9
Teleop94.4
End5.3
red by 12.8
4284
#46
108.815.9
75.191.0
Auto15.2
Teleop88.4
End9.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsMissed29%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed