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Red372
1559140.7
2399129.9
3940148.7
Blue250
6765121.6
4121124.1
4521126.7
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3372450100200400500600700800372250

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3940
#21
148.712.2
104.2116.4
Auto17.9
Teleop109.4
End22.8
red by 22.0
4521
#42
126.713.8
83.196.9
Auto17.3
Teleop91.9
End15.6
Second
1559
#27
140.710.6
108.6119.2
Auto21.5
Teleop103.0
End17.2
red by 16.6
4121
#47
124.112.8
86.399.2
Auto16.8
Teleop85.7
End24.4
Third
2399
#38
129.99.2
101.2110.4
Auto17.0
Teleop97.3
End18.7
red by 8.3
6765
#29
121.610.0
80.490.4
Auto17.9
Teleop94.4
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsEarned38%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed