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Red388
291169.2
6460130.5
3193136.7
Blue203
5492128.1
451122.3
3260132.7
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions278301100200400500388203

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
291
#2
169.212.0
96.3108.3
Auto23.1
Teleop120.3
End27.0
red by 36.6
3260
#52
132.79.4
105.6115.0
Auto16.8
Teleop97.9
End16.6
Second
3193
#43
136.712.1
89.9102.0
Auto16.3
Teleop105.0
End16.0
red by 8.6
5492
#58
128.19.3
102.9112.2
Auto14.4
Teleop95.8
End21.1
Third
6460
#31
130.58.4
93.2101.6
Auto18.9
Teleop97.4
End16.2
red by 8.2
451
#57
122.39.1
90.9100.0
Auto14.8
Teleop94.9
End15.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
53%Auto Quest oddsMissed25%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed