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Red288
1466138.4
2603110.4
3484138.7
Blue261
4467129.4
128106.0
1317139.7
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3092410100200400500600700288261

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3484
#12
138.710.1
93.9104.0
Auto19.9
Teleop97.3
End25.2
blue by 1.0
1317
#10
139.76.6
89.896.5
Auto18.1
Teleop102.4
End22.8
Second
1466
#19
138.410.3
102.7113.0
Auto20.8
Teleop102.2
End16.5
red by 9.0
4467
#39
129.47.6
93.8101.4
Auto18.2
Teleop96.2
End14.0
Third
2603
#55
110.410.8
83.194.0
Auto14.2
Teleop82.8
End15.6
red by 4.4
128
#56
106.011.1
84.895.9
Auto15.4
Teleop78.8
End12.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsMissed21%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed