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Red399
3397140.7
3504150.8
4145160.7
Blue184
3844112.5
6927113.1
3010150.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3212530200400600800399184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
160.711.8
108.2120.1
Auto18.0
Teleop118.0
End21.3
red by 10.0
150.711.7
93.8105.5
Auto20.5
Teleop112.2
End19.9
Second
150.810.1
104.2114.3
Auto22.8
Teleop108.7
End19.8
red by 37.6
6927
#60
113.110.7
77.788.4
Auto15.7
Teleop88.0
End10.4
Third
3397
#24
140.714.0
76.690.6
Auto13.5
Teleop109.9
End18.9
red by 28.2
3844
#54
112.510.2
90.2100.4
Auto16.2
Teleop85.9
End10.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
33%Auto Quest oddsEarned21%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed