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Red182
4467129.4
868125.4
2252128.9
Blue419
4521126.7
5740137.0
247149.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3302560200400600800182419

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4467
#39
129.415.6
78.293.8
Auto18.2
Teleop96.2
End14.0
blue by 20.0
247
#13
149.414.7
86.8101.4
Auto18.8
Teleop108.0
End21.0
Second
2252
#37
128.913.3
99.8113.1
Auto16.7
Teleop95.9
End19.2
blue by 8.1
5740
#14
137.015.9
75.091.0
Auto20.2
Teleop101.2
End15.8
Third
868
#26
125.412.6
106.0118.6
Auto18.1
Teleop92.5
End18.1
blue by 1.3
4521
#42
126.716.9
66.183.1
Auto17.3
Teleop91.9
End15.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
38%Auto Quest oddsMissed31%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed