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Red312
302167.7
3010150.7
554135.6
Blue292
4121124.1
4611152.1
291169.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions284287150200250350400450312292

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
302
#5
167.714.0
92.7106.7
Auto16.6
Teleop133.4
End19.2
blue by 1.6
291
#2
169.215.3
81.096.3
Auto23.1
Teleop120.3
End27.0
Second
150.715.6
78.293.8
Auto20.5
Teleop112.2
End19.9
blue by 1.4
152.115.4
80.395.7
Auto18.5
Teleop115.9
End19.4
Third
554
#11
135.616.1
74.190.1
Auto17.1
Teleop102.0
End22.4
red by 11.5
4121
#47
124.116.5
69.886.3
Auto16.8
Teleop85.7
End24.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
33%Auto Quest oddsMissed31%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed